This is a ranking system that considers a base that is stolen to be as valid a unit of offensive production as a base that is attained any other way. It takes the sum of total bases + walks + SBs, adjusts it slightly, and divides by games played to arrive at a score, according to which the players are ranked. (Hitting prospects are starters, not pinch hitters or defensive replacements, so dividing by games is about as valid as dividing by at-bats or plate appearances.)
The adjustment represented by the “adj points” column is Points minus Games. This adjustment rests on the idea that one total base (or walk or SB) per game is a baseline, required to get you to zero.
Players included here are at Kane County (A ball) or higher. I include Boise numbers if a player has advanced to Kane County (KC) or above.
8/5: Matt Szczur appears to be having a productive season leading off at Tennessee, but his “total offense” score has dropped from a robust 1.42 last year at Daytona and Tennessee to a pedestrian 0.99 at Tennessee this year. His total bases per game are down (due to fewer extra-base hits) and his steals are way down.
Based on this ranking, Zeke DeVoss–listed 7th among players who are 25 or younger–is a legitimate prospect. A team chronically in search of a leadoff man will notice DeVoss’s 66 walks compared to Szczur’s 37. DeVoss’s score is consistent with, and in fact identical to, his number last year.
Justin Bour is hitting home runs at twice the rate he hit them last year–once in every 16 at bats compared to every 34 at bats–and will almost certainly win the promotion to Iowa that eluded him this spring.